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US and UK Payment Behaviors More Similar Than Different

(New York, NY) As the UK prepares to vote on whether to remain in the European Union, Britons debate the strength of their ties to Europe. When it comes to their financial behavior, however, they are clearly more similar to their American, rather than their Continental, cousins. While usage of credit cards in European markets such as France and Germany remain stubbornly low, both the US and the UK are reporting rapidly mounting levels of credit card debt, approaching levels not seen since the heady days preceding the financial crisis.[1] And while the US is usually seen as the poster child for “buy now, pay later,” UK cardholders aren’t so different, nearly equally likely to revolve balances on at least one card, according to newly released research from Auriemma Group, which conducted parallel studies in both markets.

Although on opposite sides of the northern Atlantic, payment behavior in the US and the UK is eerily similar, save a few key differences. It’s true, on average, US consumers hold more credit cards than their UK counterparts (2.3 vs. 1.9), but an equal proportion (26%) of each market frequently carries a balance on them. American and British consumers are also nearly identical when looking at balance transfers (10% vs. 13%), missed payments (11% vs. 13%), and credit card inactivity (24% vs. 27%) within the past year. “We generally find the same things important, but perhaps to varying degrees,” says Jaclyn Holmes, the Auriemma senior manager who directed the study. “This also translates when examining payment behavior. US cardholders, for example, are more likely to be incentivized by rewards or cashback offers, but both populations select this as the top offer that would make them use less frequently used cards more.”

A majority of consumers in both markets (65% in the US, 59% in the UK) cite the most obvious reason, “high spending,” for revolving balances. These revolvers try to pay off the credit card with the highest APR first, but UK cardholders more frequently cite allocating extra funds to paying off the card they use most frequently (22% vs. 16%). “Britons don’t want to lose access to that credit line,” says Holmes. “Twice as many UK cardholders say they rely on borrowing to afford day-to-day purchases so paying down that card first makes sense.”

Borrowing, of course, isn’t just limited to credit cards. Consumers in the US and the UK both cite taking out a mortgage (69% vs. 62%), emergencies (59% vs. 56%), and making large purchases (33% vs. 32%) as justifiable reasons to borrow. Auto loans, however, are much more widely held in the US (61% vs. 40%), while UK cardholders more often cite funding a creative project (23% vs. 15%) or managing cash flow (17% vs. 13%). “About one-third of each market has taken out a personal loan, but UK cardholders are nearly twice as likely to borrow for debt consolidation,” says Holmes. “Britons believe the repayment schedule would be easier with a personal loan, while those in the US more often cite wanting to build their credit history.”

For financial institutions wishing to better understand consumers across the pond, the good news is that payment behavior is generally similar regardless of locale. “Sure, US and UK consumers are not carbon copies of one another,” says Holmes, “but, based on our research, it looks like we are more alike than some may initially think.”

Survey Methodology

Cardbeat US was conducted online within the United States by an independent field service provider on behalf of Auriemma Consulting Group in April 2016, among 800 U.S. credit card users. Cardbeat UK was conducted online among 500 credit cardholders in the U.K. during March 2016. The number of interviews completed is sufficient to allow for statistical significance testing between sub-groups at the 95% confidence level ± 5%, unless otherwise noted. The purpose of the research was not disclosed nor did the respondents know the criteria for qualifying.

About Auriemma Group

 Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space.  We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines.  Founded in 1984, ACG has grown from a one-man shop to a nearly 50-person firm with offices in New York and London.  For more information, contact Jaclyn Holmes at (212) 323-7000.

[1] http://www.wsj.com/articles/balance-due-credit-card-debt-nears-1-trillion-as-banks-push-plastic-1463736600
http://www.reuters.com/article/britain-banks-lending-idUSL3N18D3SX

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27% of the Eligible Population is Using Mobile Payments

New York, NY):  Back in October of 2014, Apple Pay was launched with great fanfare, and for almost a year it was the only game in town for consumers who wanted to pay with their smartphones. Since then it’s been joined by Android Pay and Samsung Pay, with more branded mobile payment solutions, such as Walmart Pay and Chase Pay, waiting in the wings. But is anyone using them?

The answer, according to the latest Mobile Pay Tracker survey from Auriemma Group, is a qualified yes: about 7% of all smartphone owners* claim to have at least tried mobile payments. “It’s important to remember that less than half the smartphones that US consumers carry are capable of mobile payments,” says Marianne Berry, managing director of Auriemma’s Payment Insights practice. “Among those with an eligible phone, 27% of consumers we surveyed say that they have used Apple, Android, or Samsung Pay.”

However, that doesn’t mean they can leave their wallets at home yet.  Mobile pay users still put the lion’s share of their purchases on old-fashioned plastic, since stores that accept mobile payments are still hard to find in the US: 39% say they would use mobile payments more if more stores/apps accepted it. 61% say their mobile pay usage is supplanting cash transactions, suggesting that the phones are being used for smaller purchases, confirmed by average ticket size—-one-third of those who have used mobile pay in the past week made a purchase of $25 or less. These transactions are made both in-app and in-store, except for Samsung Pay, which has yet to offer in-app payments. On average, users report that 17% of their discretionary spending was done with mobile pay.

Even when they find a store that accepts mobile pay, only one-third of mobile pay users (31%) pay that way every time they know it is accepted, most frequently citing that they simply forgot. “Reaching for the phone instead of the wallet isn’t an automatic reflex, even for mobile pay enthusiasts,” said Berry. “And even if they do remember, many will give up and use their plastic cards if they encounter friction at the point of sale, particularly if there are other shoppers in line behind them.”

Mobile payments have been around for only a year, a fraction of the many decades that plastic cards have dominated. As the upgrade cycle puts the newest smartphones into the hands of more consumers, increasing numbers of them will have the opportunity to try out this new way of paying. “Overall satisfaction with mobile payments is quite high at 80%, despite complaints about low merchant penetration and inconsistent customer experience at point of sale,” Berry stated. “But mobile payment has yet to reach the tipping point that will take it from novelty to norm.”

Survey Methodology

The study was conducted online among 2004 consumers in the US with Apple Pay eligible (n=1,000), Android Pay eligible (n=838), and/or Samsung Pay eligible (n=327) smartphones between March 3 – April 7, 2016. Respondents were screened to own an iPhone 6/6+/6s/6s+ or Apple Watch (in combination with an iPhone 5/5C/5S) – a Samsung Galaxy S6, S6 Edge/Edge+, S6 Active or Galaxy Note 5 – and/or other Android phone with KitKat (4.4) OS or newer.  All respondents also have a general purpose credit card in their own name. In addition to the quantitative web survey, twenty in-depth interviews (IDIs) were conducted March 21, 2016 – March 25, 2016 via telephone with Android Pay and Samsung Pay users recruited from the quantitative web survey. For this round of IDIs, the focus is or was on the Android and Samsung Pay users, and their usage and experience thus far.

* Auriemma conducted a standalone market sizing study in March 2016 among 1,100 US adults. Data was weighted by gender, age, race/ethnicity, household income, and education to be nationally representative of the entire US adult population (aged 18+).

About Auriemma Group

Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space.  We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines.  For more information call (212) 323-7000.

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Got Baggage? How Premium Airline Cards Benefit Consumers, Issuers, and Airlines

(New York, NY):  Few topics provoke as much consumer rage as the indignities of air travel.  Along with endless airport security lines and vanishing leg room, add-on fees are a major source of irritation for flyers.  Last year consumers spent a whopping $3.8 billion just on checked baggage fees, according to the Department of Transportation, and another $3 billion for the privilege of changing their flights.

Airline rewards cards, long favored by mileage hoarders, offer a way for consumers to fight back. By selecting the right credit card, savvy travelers can enjoy priority boarding, checked baggage, and make last-minute flight changes without racking up additional charges. And these premium benefits are broadening the appeal of airline rewards cards, according to recent research by Auriemma Group.

“People want to earn free trips: mileage is aspirational,” says Jaclyn Holmes, the Auriemma senior manager who directed the study. “But when it comes to the day-to-day flying experience, benefits like priority boarding or a free checked bag can make all the difference.”  Even consumers who would normally balk at paying an annual fee may change their minds when they consider avoided costs, she noted. “Over half of consumers who carry cards with premium benefits value these privileges more than the miles they earn for spending.”

Premium benefits are important to consumers, but they are important to airlines and issuers as well. Airline rewards cards with these benefits create an opportunity to better connect with the consumer, to provide them with a more positive experience, and to keep them brand loyal.

“Airlines and their card-issuing partners should continue to highlight the core benefits of mileage, how it is earned, and how it can be used,” says Holmes, “but it is equally important to focus on premium benefits offered, as they may be the tipping point in how consumers select their payment method and airline. Airline reward cardholders expect to be earning miles on their spending; to entice them you need to do more, you need to show them that your product will improve their travel experience.”

Survey Methodology

The study was conducted online within the United States by an independent field service provider on behalf of Auriemma Consulting Group in February 2016, among 800 U.S. credit card users (“cardholders”). The number of interviews completed on a monthly basis is sufficient to allow for statistical significance testing between sub-groups at the 95% confidence level ± 5%, unless otherwise noted.

About Auriemma Group

Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space.  We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines.  For more information, call (212) 323-7000.

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P2P Payments Used for More Than Check Splitting

(New York, NY): Person-to-person (P2P) payments are increasing in popularity and diversifying in use, with nearly one-third of consumers currently utilizing the service, according to recent research by Auriemma Group. The firm’s latest Cardbeat® surveys, among 800 US credit cardholders, found that users report several practical uses for P2P payments other than just splitting the check—many citing transaction speed and ease of use as reasons for the preference.

Users agree that P2P payment apps make it easier to pay people far away (94% agree), to keep track of money owed to friends and family (81%), and to split checks or bills (80%). “It isn’t just used to pay for your share at dinner anymore,” says Jaclyn Holmes, the Auriemma senior manager who directed the studies. “The ease of paying people far away suggests users may utilize P2P payments as an alternative to sending checks, money transfers, or providing account information to pay for goods or services.” P2P users also seem to enjoy flexibility in how they pay, with nearly one-half of users linking multiple accounts to a P2P app. Most users link credit rather than debit cards to their P2P apps, consistent with consumers’ preference for using credit cards for online purchases.

Among all respondents, familiarity was highest with PayPal Me (27%), Square Cash (17%), and Facebook (14%). While Venmo was the fourth most familiar among cardholders overall (12%), more than a quarter of Millennials (26%) cited familiarity with the brand. Those familiar with a P2P payment app commonly cite online advertising, word of mouth, and social media as how they first heard of the payment platform. “From a marketing standpoint, the very nature of P2P is that it encourages you to promote it to your friends,” said Marianne Berry, Managing Director of Auriemma’s Payment Insights team. “Users, by necessity, often bring other new users with them: more than two-thirds of users under age 35 reported that they’ve encouraged friends to sign up for a specific P2P app.”

These findings are consistent with a recent issue of Auriemma’s The Payments Report, a survey of 500 debit cardholders, which revealed that 85% of those who used at least one P2P payment app/service were at least somewhat likely to recommend the app/service to a friend. The study also found that 38% of the same population have used the service to pay someone other than a friend, suggesting that P2P payments are not simply just for splitting the bill at dinner, but may prove a more useful form of payment for those who prefer the method over cash or checks.

Survey Methodology
The studies were conducted online within the United States by an independent field service provider on behalf of Auriemma Consulting Group in September and November 2015, among 800 credit card users each (“cardholders”). The number of interviews completed on a monthly basis is sufficient to allow for statistical significance testing between sub-groups at the 95% confidence level ± 5%, unless otherwise noted.

About Auriemma Group

Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space. We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines.

Complementary to our core consulting business, Auriemma facilitates a series of Industry Roundtable groups focused on a variety of industries in which clients exchange information through activities managed by Auriemma, comparing and analyzing industry practices and benchmarks so that each member can optimize its own performance.

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Paying by Plastic Changes Tipping Behavior

(New York, NY): Tipping for service may be a cultural norm in the US, but prompts at point of sale can greatly affect who gets tipped and how much, according to new report by Auriemma Group. The firm’s latest Cardbeat ® survey of 800 US credit cardholders found that presenting consumers with the opportunity to add a tip when they pay by credit card can increase tipping behavior by almost a third.

When queried about their normal habits, the vast majority of consumers (93%) say they typically tip their servers in a restaurant, while 72% tip for food delivery and 69% tip their hair dresser or barber. Tips are far less prevalent when given in cash, however, with fewer than half of those surveyed saying they generally tip taxi drivers (46%), valet parking attendants (38%), or hotel room cleaners (39%). Asked what they’d do if they didn’t have cash handy, 41% of consumers say they’d skip leaving a gratuity altogether for courtesy services where they may otherwise tip. Given the option, nearly 9 in 10 (89%) cardholders say they would always tip on a card if they could, with 79% adding that they feel it’s an inconvenience when they’re unable to tip on their credit card.

As payment card acceptance becomes more widespread, however, so does the likelihood of tipping. A noteworthy 30% of cardholders say that tip suggestions that appear at point of sale make them more likely to tip. “These tip prompts are often used on mobile point of sale (mPOS) systems, such as those used by car services or taxis” said Jaclyn Holmes, the Auriemma senior manager who directed the study. “When the checkout screen asks if they want to tip 15%, 20%, or 25%, people are far more likely to leave any tip, although most opt for the lowest suggested amount.” At fast casual restaurants 81% of cardholders would leave a tip after passive merchant prompting through an mPOS system, representing a 31% increase in the number of cardholders who would leave a tip at a restaurant of that kind. “On a cumulative basis, such prompting could create a significant increase in payment card transaction volume,” Holmes noted. “Baristas and drivers may welcome these innovations, but so will the IRS, which can more easily document these sources of income.”

About Auriemma Group

Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space. We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines. For more information, please visit Jaclyn Holmes at 212-323-7000.

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Fewer than Half of US Cardholders Have Received a Chip Card and Many Don’t Know How to Use It

(New York, NY):   With just under a month until the US EMV liability shift takes effect, less than half of US credit card holders have received a chip card from their issuer, and many of them have never used it as intended, according to recent Cardbeat® research conducted by Auriemma Group. In a June survey of 400 US adult credit cardholders, nearly half (47%) of respondents report having received at least one EMV credit card, and one-quarter hold an EMV debit card. While EMV card conversion will likely continue into 2016, issuer migration efforts so far appear to far exceed those of merchants – recent projections estimate merchant terminal enablement could be as low as 25% through October. Though few merchants have transitioned to EMV terminals, customers are already perceiving a less efficient checkout experience at the point of sale.

The Cardbeat data show that nearly half of EMV cardholders (47%) have not inserted their chip card into a terminal, and among these individuals, nearly eight in ten (78%) have never encountered a chip-enabled terminal. “Even though many issuers are providing their cardholders chip cards and general communications about them, this information will be forgotten if cardholders aren’t able to form the new habit of using their card with a chip reader until months later,” says Jaclyn Holmes, Senior Manager of Auriemma’s Payment Insights. “While most respondents said that the communications they received with their new EMV cards was clear, we found considerable misinformation among consumers. The majority of respondents believe that chip cards are inherently more secure – even when used at a conventional terminal – and that they should just continue to swipe their card.”

The Cardbeat research shows that cardholders typically understand that EMV cards are more secure – 67% correctly know it’s more difficult for unauthorized users to counterfeit a chip card than a standard magnetic stripe card, 58% understand the chip encrypts personal information into a unique code, and 55% know dipping a chip card is more secure than swiping a magnetic stripe card.  On the other hand, chip card functionality and usage in merchant-enabled EMV terminals is less understood. More than two in five cardholders (44%) incorrectly believe swiping a chip card is more secure than swiping a magnetic stripe card, and a similar proportion (39%) were unsure. Furthermore, over half (52%) of those currently holding a chip card said they would prefer to swipe their chip card, even if a retailer has chip-enabled terminals. “Cardholders do not have a good understanding that in order to benefit from the increased security chip cards offer, the chip must be inserted into the reader – nor do they seem to understand that once merchant-enabled terminals are turned on, they may not have a choice,” Holmes noted.

So far, research shows that the customer experience resulting from the EMV migration has been less than satisfactory – over one-third (35%) of EMV cardholders who have tried to use their chip card in an enabled terminal say they have encountered difficulties. A similar proportion of all respondents (37%) have encountered checkout delays because another shopper had difficulties. Nearly half of cardholders (48%) said that EMV transactions take noticeably longer than magnetic stripe transactions to complete, attributable to the requirement to leave the card in the reader throughout the transaction. Merchants shouldn’t be surprised if a large number of cardholders remove their cards too quickly from the readers – 64% of cardholders are unaware that they must keep their card in the reader until the transaction is completed, otherwise the transaction will be terminated. “Due to the gap in merchant deployment, education in chip cards will have to be ongoing, and merchants will need to match the efforts of issuers. With the holiday shopping season right around the corner, this is the opportune time to iron out the problems,” Holmes said, “because customer resistance during the high shopping season could make for a lot of unnecessarily angry customers.”

About Auriemma Group

Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space.  We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines. For more information about Auriemma’s Payment Insights, please call 212-323-7000.

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Apple Pay Adoption: Growing or Slowing?

By Rene Ritchie, iMore.com

Thursday, Aug. 6, 2015

The tale of two Apple Pay surveys.

There have been some conflicting surveys out about Apple Pay in the last couple of weeks, one of which says the mobile payment service is growing and the other, declining. So, which is it?

The Auriemma survey is clear and up front about where the data comes from, is easy to read, and comes off as professional and, well, sane:

Apple Pay usage in the US is growing, driven by both increased frequency of transactions and the expanding base of iPhone 6 owners, according to Auriemma Consulting Group’s Apple Pay Tracker, which interviewed 500 iPhone 6 and 6+ owners between May 29 and June 15, 2015. Forty-two per cent of Apple 6/6+ owners reported having used Apple Pay, virtually identical to the proportions reported in two previous waves of the study conducted in February and April 2015. “While the proportion of users has remained stable, the denominator has grown through new iPhone and Apple Watch sales and the upgrade cycle. We’ve also seen the average number of transactions increase both in-store and in-app,” says Marianne Berry, Managing Director of ACG’s Payment Insights practice.

They go on to say Apple Pay is considered to be move than a novelty, is growing at points of purchase, and that there appears to be lots of room for further growth.

The PYMNTS/InfoSocut is the opposite. It’s almost impenetrable, written as half-narrative about a conference, doesn’t clearly say where the data comes from, and is filled with comments from people who appear to have competing interests to Apple Pay—including the CEO’s of Paypal owned Paydient and Samsung-owned LoopPay. Which is, frankly, bizarre.

In March, survey data indicated that 15.1 percent of eligible Apple Pay users had tried the service – when surveyed in June 2015 that had fallen to 13.1 percent.

Usage fell as well – when asked in March, “Did you use Apple Pay on this transaction,” 39.3 percent of consumers said yes. When asked the same question in June, only 23 percent replied in the affirmative.

They go on to say Apple Pay has dipped with committed users and that Apple Pay doesn’t sell phones. Then they go into the appalling quotes from competitors.

iMore hasn’t looked into Apple Pay usage among iPhone owners yet, but we did ask Apple Watch owners as part of our ongoing survey. We’re only a quarter of the way through the data collection phase right now, but with thousands and thousands of responses in already, the numbers are currently as follows: 60% have used Apple Pay at least occasionally, and over 30% use it whenever it’s available to them.

That’s for a service that, until very recently, was only available in the U.S., is still only available in the U.S. and U.K., is still adding banks and retailers, and won’t be launching support for loyalty and store cards until iOS 9, later this fall.

Still, we’ve seen how Apple Pay accessibility can empower people:

That Apple Pay on the iPhones 6 (and [the] Apple Watch) works so effortlessly that it instills feelings of empowerment and independence for users with disabilities is profound.

How Apple Pay is automagically secure, which literally turns what previously was an extremely stressful experience into a delightful one:

The first time you experience this seamless transfer of your accounts with Apple Pay, you’re going to want it everywhere you purchase goods and services. That, combined with very positive word-of-mouth, is going to make entering a card number feel very antiquated. And I suspect this change will come about very quickly.

And how great Apple Pay is to use on the London Underground:

Apple Pay is a great way to get around London. Keep your wallet safely tucked away in your bag or pocket and better keep track of your transactions. I managed to visit London for two full days without using the debit card connected to my Apple Pay

Without more data, it’s impossible to tell with an absolute certainty which set of numbers most accurately present the current state of Apple Pay growth. It’s pretty easy, however, to judge the companies presenting the data. AGC is clean, clear, and professional. PYMNTS/InfoSocut rings just about every integrity alarm bell imaginable.

Negative Apple headlines drive a lot of attention, though, so it’s no surprise the negative numbers are getting a lot of pickup. Still, it’s better to look at both sets, and both companies, and match what they say against your own experiences, and then decide for yourself.

For me, I’ll be using Apple Pay as much as possible as soon as possible.

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Apple Pay Use Growing in US

(New York): Apple Pay usage in the US is growing, driven by both increased frequency of transactions and the expanding base of iPhone 6 owners, according to Auriemma Group’s Apple Pay Tracker, which interviewed 500 iPhone 6 and 6+ owners between May 29 and June 15, 2015. Forty-two per cent of Apple 6/6+ owners reported having used Apple Pay, virtually identical to the proportions reported in two previous waves of the study conducted in February and April 2015. “While the proportion of users has remained stable, the denominator has grown through new iPhone and Apple Watch sales and the upgrade cycle. We’ve also seen the average number of transactions increase both in-store and in-app,” says Marianne Berry, Managing Director of Auriemma’s Payment Insights practice.

Data from the study indicates that users consider Apple Pay to be more than a novelty, Berry notes. “It’s not surprising that the first cohort to own the newest iPhone would be eager to try Apple Pay, so we were particularly interested in comparing trial to adoption rates. Eighty-four percent of Apple Pay users reported having made more than three transactions in stores, and 76% have used it more than three times in-app, suggesting that the abandon rate is low.”

The number of places where Apple Pay is used has also increased. In the April survey only 13% of Apple Pay users had used it in more than six stores, while two months later that number had grown to 24%. During the same two month period the number using Apple Pay for 6 or more apps grew from 1% to 10%.

“It’s likely that the number of retailers accepting Apple Pay will expand, especially as merchants hear from these customers and look at their purchasing power. Seventy per cent of Apple Pay users state that they are more likely to choose a store that accepts Apple Pay,” Berry says, “and this group is even more affluent than the overall Apple phone owner population.”

Indeed, one of the few complaints users have is a lack of opportunities to use Apple Pay. The effect is particularly notable in the burgeoning m-commerce market, as Apple Pay devotees have learned to search the App Store to find apps that accept the payment method. “It’s a rare instance of consumers starting out with a preferred payment method and searching for a place to spend it—like the proverbial hammer looking for a nail.”

Despite the enthusiasm of early adopters, Apple Pay sales volume accounts for only a tiny share of overall credit and debit card sales, and Berry doesn’t expect that to change quickly. “In the early days after launch, we found a high level of intent to use among those who hadn’t tried it yet. As more iPhone owners gain the ability to use the service through the upgrade cycle, we’re seeing a pretty stable proportion of about 30% who are taking a ‘wait-and-see’ attitude, often citing security concerns about a new technology. The introduction of Android Pay later this year may accelerate the evolution of perceptions about mobile payments moving from novelty to mainstream.”

About Auriemma Group

Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space. We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines. For more information, call (212) 323-7000.

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Young Consumers More Likely to Spend Gas Savings

(New York, NY): Most consumers have more money in their pockets thanks to lower gas prices, but younger people are more likely to spend their savings, according to research from Cardbeat®, Auriemma Group’s syndicated research publication. In a survey of 421 U.S. credit cardholders, one-third (34%) of consumers under age 45 say they’re now considering making previously postponed purchases, compared to just 20% among their older counterparts.

Many consumers’ personal finances are buoyed by lower oil prices. Close to two-thirds (62%) of drivers say they’re spending less on gas than they were a year ago, and 88% cite the lower cost of gas compared to a year ago. Yet caution permeates consumer behavior and varies considerably by age group. Consumers aged 45 and older, who remember rising gas prices during the OPEC oil embargo and Gulf War years, are more likely to see low fuel prices as a temporary phenomenon. Cardbeat data shows individuals aged 45 and older are more pessimistic in their outlook for the price of fuel going into the future, with 69% feeling the price of gas will go up in the next year, as opposed to 59% among respondents under age 45.

Major card payments networks validate that the impact of lower gas prices on card spending has been modest so far. For example, in January 2015, MasterCard CEO Ajay Banga told investors in the company’s quarterly earnings call, “We haven’t [yet] seen the extra savings from lower gas prices translate into additional discretionary consumer spending.”

The consensus among many economists is that we could start witnessing more discretionary credit card spending this summer (barring any unforeseen increases in gas prices). Marianne Berry, Managing Director of the Payment Insights practice at Auriemma, says that merchants would still be wise to presume a cautious consumer would be the rule for the foreseeable future, and target their promotions to the younger consumers who would most likely be receptive to such offers.

She adds that certain merchant categories, most notably restaurants, are likely to be the first beneficiaries of any incremental spending. “Consumers anticipate their highest increases in spending will be on food and dining over the next year” said Ms. Berry. ”After restaurants, retail in general, particularly fashion and electronics, are likely beneficiaries of discretionary spend among Millennials and Gen Xers.”

About Auriemma Group

Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space. We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines. For more information about Auriemma’s research, please call 212-323-7000.

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Apple Pay Use in US Steadily Increasing Beyond Early Adopters

(New York, NY): The use of mobile payments is continuing to grow and broaden, as nearly half (46%) of iPhone 6 owners have successfully used Apple Pay, up from 42% just two months ago. The latest wave of Auriemma Group’s bi-monthly Apple Pay Tracker, which interviews a fresh sample of 500 iPhone 6 owners every 8 weeks, also finds high levels of repeat usage, with 63% reporting that they use Apple Pay at least weekly.

“The Apple Pay base is broadening from the tech-savvy early adopters,” says Marianne Berry, Managing Director of Auriemma’s Payment Insights practice. In Wave 1 (conducted between January 26 – February 6, 2015), 70% of Apple Pay users identified themselves as people who “like to be the first to have the newest model phone.”  In Wave 2, conducted April 10-20, that figure had dropped to 55%, indicating that less tech-oriented types are now trialing mobile payments via Apple Pay.

Consistent with the finding that the newer users might be less technologically adept, a significant number are reporting problems in set-up.  The April survey found that 45% of respondents reported having issues setting up Apple Pay. “Among those who reported issues setting up Apple Pay, 62% acquired their iPhone in 2015, compared to 38% who got their iPhone in 2014,” Berry noted.

Despite these issues, user satisfaction is very high, and their main complaint is the lack of retail venues accepting Apple Pay.  67% of those that have used Apple Pay in a brick and mortar store say they are migrating to merchants that accept Apple Pay. And 51% say that they are using other payment methods, such as cash, less often since they began using Apple Pay.

“Mobile payments still comprise only a small fraction of overall payments volume,” said Berry, “but Apple Pay is the first service to garner double-digit numbers of users. As the upgrade cycle gives more consumers access to Apple Pay, and Android Pay comes to market, the long-awaited transformation of the payments industry may finally have begun. It will be interesting to see how US adoption patterns compare to those in the UK and in Canada—markets with higher penetration of NFC and contactless cards—when Apple Pay is rolled out there.”

Auriemma’s Apple Pay Tracker conducts an online survey of 500 randomly selected iPhone 6/6+ owners every 8 weeks, accompanied by qualitative telephone interviews; the full study is available through an annual subscription. Data reported above comes from interviews conducted April 10 -20, 2015.

About Auriemma Group

Auriemma is a boutique management consulting firm with specialized focus on the Payments and Lending space. We deliver actionable solutions and insights that add value to our clients’ business activities across a broad set of industry topics and disciplines.

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